CAR
1–5
TOR
Final · L
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 16-8-2
1–5
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 13-11-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
11301109133
TOR
272819524
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 16-8-2 · TOR 13-11-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes fell to the Maple Leafs
The Hurricanes created the better chances (4.0 to 2.9 expected goals) — and lost 1–5. Joseph Woll stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.9, on 33 and 24 shots on goal.
CAR 4.0 xG · 33 shots
TOR 2.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 1.3
3rd
1.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 00:53 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Scott Laughton · 1st 11:45 · 0–2 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 1st 15:45 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Matthew Knies · 2nd 04:44 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 10:39 · 1–4 · snap shot, a great chance (35%)
6
Bobby McMann · 3rd 18:16 · 1–5 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 66.
CAR 66%TOR 34%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 5 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 00:53 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Scott Laughton · 1st 11:45 · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 1st 15:45 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Matthew Knies · 2nd 04:44 · 1–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 10:39 · 1–4
Snap shot, a great chance (35%)
6
Bobby McMann · 3rd 18:16 · EN · 1–5
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:00
Auston Matthews· Tripping
Auston Matthews· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:23
Morgan Rielly· Holding
Morgan Rielly· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:08
Andrei Svechnikov· Hooking
Andrei Svechnikov· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:40
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Delaying game puck over glass
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:03
Jalen Chatfield· Hooking
Jalen Chatfield· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Hurricanes went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Maple Leafs power plays.