Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 17-8-2
6–3
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 10-14-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
31911427640
NSH
0407311322
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 17-8-2 · NSH 10-14-4 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Predators
The Hurricanes earned it: 4.9 expected goals to 1.8, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Brandon Bussi allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 1.8, on 40 and 22 shots on goal.
CAR 4.9 xG · 40 shots
NSH 1.8 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
2.5 · 0.2
2nd
1.7 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Taylor Hall · 1st 08:01 · 1–0 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 09:55 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
William Carrier · 1st 19:44 · 3–0 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Jackson Blake · 2nd 15:46 · 4–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 04:45 · 5–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Michael Bunting · 3rd 06:26 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jackson Blake · 3rd 08:12 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Matthew Wood · 3rd 09:09 · 6–2 · between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 11:36 · 6–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 89.
CAR 89%NSH 11%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Taylor Hall · 1st 08:01 · PP · 1–0
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 09:55 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
William Carrier · 1st 19:44 · 3–0
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Jackson Blake · 2nd 15:46 · GWG · 4–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 04:45 · 5–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Michael Bunting · 3rd 06:26 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jackson Blake · 3rd 08:12 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Matthew Wood · 3rd 09:09 · 6–2
Between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
9
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 11:36 · 6–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:19
Filip Forsberg· Slashing
Hall scored on this power play
Minor
1
Jackson Blake, Logan Stankoven · Power play (Forsberg, slashing) · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:12
Reid Schaefer· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:45
Nicolas Hague· Delaying game puck over glass
Ehlers scored on this power play
Minor
2
Seth Jarvis, Shayne Gostisbehere · Power play (Hague, delaying game puck over glass) · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:38
Joel Nystrom· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:14
Fedor Svechkov· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:58
Roman Josi· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
02:05
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:24
Nicolas Hague· Interference
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:24
Andrei Svechnikov· Holding the stick
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:02
Filip Forsberg· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:12
Jackson Blake· Interference
Bunting scored on this power play
Minor
6
Luke Evangelista, Erik Haula · Power play (Blake, interference) · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5–1
8
Filip Forsberg, Brady Skjei · between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6–2
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/38 saves · 6 GA · 4.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Hurricanes went 2-for-6 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Predators power plays.