Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 24-11-3
3–2
Final / OTW
New York Rangers
NYR · 19-17-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
1130711114335
NYR
15190600220
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
CAR 24-11-3 · NYR 19-17-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
Hurricanes beat the Rangers
The Hurricanes earned it: 4.4 expected goals to 2.3, and they won it in overtime on Blake's goal. Igor Shesterkin stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.3, on 35 and 20 shots on goal.
CAR 4.4 xG · 35 shots
NYR 2.3 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 1.3
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
OT
0.8 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Vladislav Gavrikov · 1st 01:39 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 15:57 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jonny Brodzinski · 2nd 13:00 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 09:11 · 2–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Jackson Blake · OT 04:47 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 78.
CAR 78%NYR 22%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Vladislav Gavrikov · 1st 01:39 · PP · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 15:57 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jonny Brodzinski · 2nd 13:00 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 09:11 · 2–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Jackson Blake · OT 04:47 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:09
Alexander Nikishin· Slashing
Gavrikov scored on this power play
Minor
1
Artemi Panarin, Vincent Trocheck · Power play (Nikishin, slashing) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:53
Jonny Brodzinski· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:13
Braden Schneider· Delaying game puck over glass
Aho scored on this power play
Minor
2
Alexander Nikishin, Nikolaj Ehlers · Power play (Schneider, delaying game puck over glass) · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
1–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:46
Logan Stankoven· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:54
Will Borgen· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:01
Matthew Robertson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Hurricanes went 2-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Rangers power plays.