CAR
3–5
COL
Final · L
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 24-14-3
3–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 31-2-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
11028010328
COL
01519411535
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 24-14-3 · COL 31-2-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes fell to the Avalanche
The Hurricanes let a 3–1 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with four unanswered goals — Drury's equalizer — and won 3–5. The Avalanche scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 3.7, on 34 and 28 shots on goal.
CAR 3.7 xG · 28 shots
COL 4.5 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.7 · 1.8
2nd
1.3 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 18:09 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 01:47 · 1–1 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 04:47 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 07:50 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 01:09 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (46%)
6
Jack Drury · 3rd 01:42 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Brock Nelson · 3rd 07:30 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:42 · 3–5 · into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 39.
CAR 39%COL 61%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 8 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 18:09 · SH · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 01:47 · 1–1
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 04:47 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 07:50 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 01:09 · PP · 3–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (46%)
6
Jack Drury · 3rd 01:42 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Brock Nelson · 3rd 07:30 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:42 · EN · 3–5
into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:36
Devon Toews· Interference
Devon Toews· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:58
Josh Manson· Interference
Josh Manson· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:33
William Carrier· Interference
William Carrier· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
2
Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:55
Zakhar Bardakov· Interference goalkeeper
Zakhar Bardakov· Interference goalkeeper
Ehlers scored on this power play
Minor
3
Taylor Hall, Logan Stankoven · Power play (Bardakov, interference goalkeeper) · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:52
K'Andre Miller· Slashing
K'Andre Miller· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:47
Jackson Blake· Holding the stick
Jackson Blake· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:11
Andrei Svechnikov· Tripping
Andrei Svechnikov· Tripping
Nelson scored on this power play
Minor
5
Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar · Power play (Svechnikov, tripping) · tip in shot, a great chance (46%)
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:11
Nikolaj Ehlers· Tripping
Nikolaj Ehlers· Tripping
Nelson scored on this power play
Minor
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 4.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Hurricanes went 1-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 5 Avalanche power plays.