Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 31-15-4
2–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 26-17-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
1120819229
BUF
130807118
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
CAR 31-15-4 · BUF 26-17-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
Hurricanes beat the Sabres
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.3, and a 2–1 win to show for it. Brandon Bussi stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 29 and 18 shots on goal.
CAR 3.1 xG · 29 shots
BUF 2.3 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 01:33 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 07:04 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 02:10 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 63.
CAR 63%BUF 37%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 01:33 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 07:04 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 02:10 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:15
Andrei Svechnikov· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:35
Andrei Svechnikov· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:35
Rasmus Dahlin· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:10
Rasmus Dahlin· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:03
Owen Power· Tripping
Jarvis scored on this power play
Minor
3
Andrei Svechnikov, Sebastian Aho · Power play (Power, tripping) · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:31
Andrei Svechnikov· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:31
Ryan McLeod· Tripping
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
17/18 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Hurricanes went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Sabres power play.