CAR 2–1 BUF Final · W
Hurricanes/Schedule/Recap Mon, Jan 19, 2026 · 2025-26 regular season
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 31-15-4
2–1
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 26-17-5
1ST2ND3RDT CAR 1120819229 BUF 130807118 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
CAR 31-15-4 · BUF 26-17-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1

Hurricanes beat the Sabres

The Hurricanes earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.3, and a 2–1 win to show for it. Brandon Bussi stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 29 and 18 shots on goal.

CAR 3.1 xG · 29 shots BUF 2.3 xG · 18 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing 1.6 · 0.6
2nd 0.8 · 0.7
3rd 0.7 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 63.
CAR 63%BUF 37%

Goals and penalties

3 goals · 7 penalties
← Hurricanes shoot this way Sabres shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
Jack Quinn, Jason Zucker · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–1
2
Sebastian Aho, Sean Walker · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
1–1
2nd period
PEN
07:15 Andrei Svechnikov· Roughing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
11:35 Andrei Svechnikov· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
11:35 Rasmus Dahlin· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
16:10 Rasmus Dahlin· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
3rd period
PEN
02:03 Owen Power· Tripping
Jarvis scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
3
02:10 Seth Jarvis PPGWG
Andrei Svechnikov, Sebastian Aho · Power play (Power, tripping) · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
17:31 Andrei Svechnikov· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
17:31 Ryan McLeod· Tripping
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
Goaltending
+1.3
vs expected
17/18 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
+1.1
vs expected
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Team CARBUF
Shots on goal
29
18
Expected goals
3.1
2.3
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Faceoffs
54%
46%
Power play
1/2
0/1
Penalty minutes
0
0
The Hurricanes went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Sabres power play.