CAR
5–4
UTA
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 33-15-5
5–4
FinalW
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 28-22-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
19110314533
UTA
0831314425
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 33-15-5 · UTA 28-22-4 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Mammoth
Down 2–4 in the 3rd period, the Hurricanes erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Gostisbehere's equalizer with 1:27 left and the goalie pulled — and won 5–4. Brandon Bussi allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 5.3 expected goals to 2.9, on 33 and 25 shots on goal.
CAR 5.3 xG · 33 shots
UTA 2.9 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
1.5 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
2.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 03:04 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Kailer Yamamoto · 2nd 04:10 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Kailer Yamamoto · 2nd 08:24 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
4
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 17:36 · 2–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
JJ Peterka · 2nd 17:55 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Michael Carcone · 3rd 07:11 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 18:01 · 3–4 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
8
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 18:33 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Jordan Staal · 3rd 19:30 · 5–4 · tip in shot, a great chance (40%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 80.
CAR 80%UTA 20%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Mammoth shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 03:04 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Kailer Yamamoto · 2nd 04:10 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Kailer Yamamoto · 2nd 08:24 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
4
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 17:36 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
JJ Peterka · 2nd 17:55 · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Michael Carcone · 3rd 07:11 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 18:01 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
8
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 18:33 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Jordan Staal · 3rd 19:30 · GWG · 5–4
Tip in shot, a great chance (40%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 5.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
