CAR
4–3
OTT
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 35-15-6
4–3
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 27-22-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
192812419
OTT
11111016327
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
CAR 35-15-6 · OTT 27-22-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
Hurricanes beat the Senators
The Hurricanes were outchanced (3.2 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. James Reimer allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.9, on 27 and 19 shots on goal.
CAR 1.9 xG · 19 shots
OTT 3.2 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
3rd
0.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Stephen Halliday · 1st 02:46 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 17:49 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 12:39 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 15:41 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Tim Stützle · 2nd 16:21 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Jake Sanderson · 3rd 04:57 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Staal · 3rd 14:53 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 28.
CAR 28%OTT 72%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 5 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Stephen Halliday · 1st 02:46 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 17:49 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 12:39 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 15:41 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Tim Stützle · 2nd 16:21 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Jake Sanderson · 3rd 04:57 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Jordan Staal · 3rd 14:53 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:58
Fabian Zetterlund· High-sticking
Fabian Zetterlund· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:41
Andrei Svechnikov· Hooking
Andrei Svechnikov· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:33
Stephen Halliday· Broken stick
Stephen Halliday· Broken stick
Jarvis scored on this power play
Minor
3
Andrei Svechnikov, Sebastian Aho · Power play (Halliday, broken stick) · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:47
William Carrier· Interference
William Carrier· Interference
Stützle scored on this power play
Minor
5
Jake Sanderson, Dylan Cozens · Power play (Carrier, interference) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:05
Mark Jankowski· High-sticking
Mark Jankowski· High-sticking
Sanderson scored on this power play
Minor
6
Drake Batherson, Dylan Cozens · Power play (Jankowski, high-sticking) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3–3
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Hurricanes went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 2 on 3 Senators power plays.