Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 41-17-6
5–4
Final / SOW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 32-17-15
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
CAR
113012316031544
PIT
1911028010428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 41-17-6 · PIT 32-17-15 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Penguins
The Hurricanes earned it: 5.3 expected goals to 3.6, and they won it in a shootout. Stuart Skinner stopped 3.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 5.3 expected goals to 3.6, on 44 and 28 shots on goal.
CAR 5.3 xG · 44 shots
PIT 3.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.2 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 1.5
3rd · the swing
2.7 · 0.5
OT
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan Stankoven · 1st 07:46 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Anthony Mantha · 1st 19:04 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Bryan Rust · 2nd 11:44 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 02:49 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 03:48 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Alexander Nikishin · 3rd 11:21 · 4–2 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Noel Acciari · 3rd 17:52 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Bryan Rust · 3rd 19:24 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 72.
CAR 72%PIT 28%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 12 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan Stankoven · 1st 07:46 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
2
Anthony Mantha · 1st 19:04 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Bryan Rust · 2nd 11:44 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 02:49 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (40%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 03:48 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Alexander Nikishin · 3rd 11:21 · PP · 4–2
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Noel Acciari · 3rd 17:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Bryan Rust · 3rd 19:24 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:16
Connor Clifton· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:53
Jackson Blake· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:29
Andrei Svechnikov· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:33
Andrei Svechnikov· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:23
William Carrier· Closing hand on puck
Rust scored on this power play
Minor
3
Egor Chinakhov, Erik Karlsson · Power play (Carrier, closing hand on puck) · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
1–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:57
Noel Acciari· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:57
Alexander Nikishin· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:17
Parker Wotherspoon· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:31
Jaccob Slavin· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:21
Ryan Shea· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:53
Parker Wotherspoon· Tripping
Nikishin scored on this power play
Minor
6
Sebastian Aho, Nikolaj Ehlers · Power play (Wotherspoon, tripping) · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:42
Kris Letang· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Shootout
1
Seth Jarvis
Save
2
Ben Kindel
Goal
3
Andrei Svechnikov
Goal
4
Egor Chinakhov
Miss
5
Jackson Blake
Goal
6
Anthony Mantha
Save
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
40/44 saves · 4 GA · 7.2 xGA
Stopped 3.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Hurricanes went 1-for-5 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Penguins power plays.