Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 41-18-6
1–3
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 26-29-10
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
11308011132
STL
021827317
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–2
CAR 41-18-6 · STL 26-29-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–2
Hurricanes fell to the Blues
Chances were even (2.0 to 1.5 expected goals); the Hurricanes lost 1–3. Jordan Binnington stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 1.5, on 32 and 17 shots on goal.
CAR 2.0 xG · 32 shots
STL 1.5 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
1.0 · 0.0
2nd
0.3 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Jankowski · 1st 08:38 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Jimmy Snuggerud · 2nd 03:53 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Jimmy Snuggerud · 3rd 15:12 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 19:09 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 59.
CAR 59%STL 41%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 3 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Jankowski · 1st 08:38 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Jimmy Snuggerud · 2nd 03:53 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Jimmy Snuggerud · 3rd 15:12 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 19:09 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:13
Jack Finley· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:35
Theo Lindstein· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:39
Mike Reilly· Interference
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
14/16 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Hurricanes went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Blues power play.