Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 46-20-6
5–2
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 37-33-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
08315211534
NJD
160518219
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 4–0
CAR 46-20-6 · NJD 37-33-2 · Meeting 4 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 4–0
Hurricanes beat the Devils
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 1.5, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Jacob Markstrom allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 1.5, on 34 and 19 shots on goal.
CAR 3.1 xG · 34 shots
NJD 1.5 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.6
3rd
0.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Timo Meier · 1st 17:06 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 10:10 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jackson Blake · 2nd 13:48 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Jordan Staal · 2nd 15:13 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 15:25 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 17:40 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 19:36 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 76.
CAR 76%NJD 24%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Timo Meier · 1st 17:06 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 10:10 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jackson Blake · 2nd 13:48 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Jordan Staal · 2nd 15:13 · GWG · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 15:25 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 17:40 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Evgenii Dadonov · 3rd 19:36 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:50
Jordan Staal· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:16
Taylor Hall· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:27
Lenni Hameenaho· Tripping
Ehlers scored on this power play
Minor
2
Alexander Nikishin, Taylor Hall · Power play (Hameenaho, tripping) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
4
Nikolaj Ehlers, Jordan Martinook · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:52
Shayne Gostisbehere· Charging
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Hurricanes went 1-for-1 on the power play and killed all 3 Devils power plays.