CAR
4–3
NYI
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 49-21-6
4–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 42-31-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
11321819440
NYI
1412110316
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
CAR 49-21-6 · NYI 42-31-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
Hurricanes beat the Islanders
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.1, and a 4–3 win to show for it. The Hurricanes owned the 2nd period, 1.8 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.1, on 40 and 16 shots on goal.
CAR 3.4 xG · 40 shots
NYI 2.1 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.2
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.5
3rd
0.6 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Marc Gatcomb · 1st 05:17 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Seth Jarvis · 1st 11:07 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Maxim Shabanov · 2nd 02:15 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Jackson Blake · 2nd 11:15 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 16:17 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 00:24 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Anders Lee · 3rd 18:23 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 72.
CAR 72%NYI 28%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 6 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Marc Gatcomb · 1st 05:17 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Seth Jarvis · 1st 11:07 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Maxim Shabanov · 2nd 02:15 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Jackson Blake · 2nd 11:15 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 16:17 · SH · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 00:24 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Anders Lee · 3rd 18:23 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:04
Marc Gatcomb· Holding
Marc Gatcomb· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:58
Adam Pelech· Hooking
Adam Pelech· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:19
Scott Mayfield· Cross-checking
Scott Mayfield· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:19
Seth Jarvis· Roughing
Seth Jarvis· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:44
Ryan Pulock· Hooking
Ryan Pulock· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:03
Alexander Nikishin· Slashing
Alexander Nikishin· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
13/16 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Hurricanes went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 1 Islanders power play.