CAR
3–2
MTL
Final / OT · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 9-1
3–2
Final / OTW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 9-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
17180912326
MTL
12031700212
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
CAR 9-1 · MTL 9-7 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Canadiens
The Hurricanes earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 1.0, and they won it in overtime on Ehlers's goal. Jakub Dobes allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.0, on 26 and 12 shots on goal.
CAR 2.8 xG · 26 shots
MTL 1.0 xG · 12 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.3
2nd
1.0 · 0.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.3
OT
0.1 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Eric Robinson · 1st 02:33 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Josh Anderson · 1st 11:11 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 17:03 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Josh Anderson · 3rd 12:51 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Nikolaj Ehlers · OT 03:29 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 83.
CAR 83%MTL 17%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 5 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Eric Robinson · 1st 02:33 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Josh Anderson · 1st 11:11 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 17:03 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Josh Anderson · 3rd 12:51 · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Nikolaj Ehlers · OT 03:29 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:33
Logan Stankoven· Interference
Logan Stankoven· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:36
Jayden Struble· Roughing
Jayden Struble· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:16
Andrei Svechnikov· Boarding
Andrei Svechnikov· Boarding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:08
Jakub Dobes· Interference
Jakub Dobes· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Alexandre Texier· Slashing
Alexandre Texier· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
4
Alexandre Carrier, Phillip Danault · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–2
Overtime
Goaltending
10/12 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Hurricanes went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Canadiens power plays.