Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 12-1
6–1
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 9-10
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
3152916630
MTL
0401119124
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 4–1
CAR 12-1 · MTL 9-10 · Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 4–1
Hurricanes beat the Canadiens
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.1 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 6–1. Frederik Andersen stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.1, on 30 and 24 shots on goal.
CAR 3.3 xG · 30 shots
MTL 3.1 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.5 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Taylor Hall · 1st 09:17 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Logan Stankoven · 1st 15:12 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Eric Robinson · 1st 16:52 · 3–0 · snap shot, a great chance (45%)
4
Jackson Blake · 2nd 07:19 · 4–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 18:02 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (45%)
6
Cole Caufield · 3rd 10:50 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 16:19 · 6–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 53.
CAR 53%MTL 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Taylor Hall · 1st 09:17 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Logan Stankoven · 1st 15:12 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Eric Robinson · 1st 16:52 · 3–0
Snap shot, a great chance (45%)
4
Jackson Blake · 2nd 07:19 · 4–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 18:02 · PP · 5–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (45%)
6
Cole Caufield · 3rd 10:50 · PP · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 16:19 · EN · 6–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:28
Andrei Svechnikov· Tripping
Killed
Minor
1
Logan Stankoven, Jackson Blake · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
09:17
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:59
Andrei Svechnikov· Interference goalkeeper
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:46
Nick Suzuki· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:41
Alexander Nikishin· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:56
Lane Hutson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
16:25
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Gostisbehere scored on this power play
Bench minor
5
Seth Jarvis, Nikolaj Ehlers · Power play (too many men on the ice) · wrist shot, a great chance (45%)
5–0
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:12
Nikolaj Ehlers· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:43
Shayne Gostisbehere· Slashing
Caufield scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
17:23
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 4.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Hurricanes went 1-for-5 on the power play and allowed 1 on 5 Canadiens power plays.