CAR
4–5
VGK
Final · L
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 12-2
4–5
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 13-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
21215112429
VGK
1421128523
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Hurricanes trail the series 0–1
CAR 12-2 · VGK 13-4 · Game 1 — the Hurricanes trail the series 0–1
Hurricanes fell to the Golden Knights
The Hurricanes let a 2–0 lead get away: the Golden Knights came back with five unanswered goals — Barbashev's equalizer — and won 4–5. Frederik Andersen allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.4, on 23 and 29 shots on goal.
CAR 2.4 xG · 29 shots
VGK 4.6 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.0 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 2.4
3rd
1.0 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 00:25 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 12:08 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Shea Theodore · 1st 13:28 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 00:30 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
William Karlsson · 2nd 04:35 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
6
Jordan Staal · 2nd 12:42 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Brett Howden · 3rd 01:21 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 11:19 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
9
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 16:36 · 4–5 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 21.
CAR 21%VGK 79%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 00:25 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 1st 12:08 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Shea Theodore · 1st 13:28 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 00:30 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
William Karlsson · 2nd 04:35 · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
6
Jordan Staal · 2nd 12:42 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Brett Howden · 3rd 01:21 · 3–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 11:19 · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
9
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 16:36 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/23 saves · 5 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 3.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
