CAR
4–3
VGK
Final / OT · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 13-2
4–3
Final / OTW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 13-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
08073813426
VGK
121911401326
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
CAR 13-2 · VGK 13-5 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Golden Knights
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Hurricanes erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Jankowski's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Jarvis's goal. Carter Hart allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.1, on 26 and 26 shots on goal.
CAR 2.8 xG · 26 shots
VGK 3.1 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
2nd
0.4 · 1.1
3rd
0.8 · 1.6
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brett Howden · 1st 13:33 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
2
Brett Howden · 2nd 07:23 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (43%)
3
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 10:20 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 12:46 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Jordan Staal · 3rd 15:25 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Mark Stone · 3rd 18:39 · 3–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
7
Seth Jarvis · OT 03:56 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 45.
CAR 45%VGK 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brett Howden · 1st 13:33 · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
2
Brett Howden · 2nd 07:23 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (43%)
3
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 10:20 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Mark Jankowski · 3rd 12:46 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Jordan Staal · 3rd 15:25 · PP · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Mark Stone · 3rd 18:39 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
7
Seth Jarvis · OT 03:56 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
7
Shayne Gostisbehere, Sebastian Aho · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4–3
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
