CAR
4–2
VGK
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 15-3
4–2
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 14-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
1521019424
VGK
1705113225
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 3–2
CAR 15-3 · VGK 14-7 · Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 3–2
Hurricanes beat the Golden Knights
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.4, and a 4–2 win to show for it. Brandon Bussi stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.4, on 24 and 25 shots on goal.
CAR 3.2 xG · 24 shots
VGK 2.4 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.2 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.6
3rd
1.2 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 06:52 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Jordan Staal · 1st 11:46 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 11:58 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 17:51 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 11:08 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Pavel Dorofeyev · 3rd 13:49 · 4–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 62.
CAR 62%VGK 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 7 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 06:52 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Jordan Staal · 1st 11:46 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 11:58 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 17:51 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 11:08 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Pavel Dorofeyev · 3rd 13:49 · 4–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:24
Nikolaj Ehlers· Delaying game puck over glass
Nikolaj Ehlers· Delaying game puck over glass
Dorofeyev scored on this power play
Minor
1
Jack Eichel, Tomas Hertl · Power play (Ehlers, delaying game puck over glass) · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:54
K'Andre Miller· Delaying game puck over glass
K'Andre Miller· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:56
Jeremy Lauzon· Roughing
Jeremy Lauzon· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:57
Brayden McNabb· Cross-checking
Brayden McNabb· Cross-checking
Svechnikov scored on this power play
Minor
3
Shayne Gostisbehere, Nikolaj Ehlers · Power play (McNabb, cross-checking) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:23
Jack Eichel· Tripping
Jack Eichel· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
4 min
Double minor
08:38
Mark Stone· High-sticking
Mark Stone· High-sticking
Svechnikov scored on this power play
Double minor
5
Nikolaj Ehlers, Shayne Gostisbehere · Power play (Stone, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
4–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:47
Nikolaj Ehlers· Delaying game puck over glass
Nikolaj Ehlers· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Hurricanes went 2-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Golden Knights power plays.