COL
5–3
STL
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 56-18-6
5–3
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 49-21-11
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
011312211534
STL
01115216332
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 56-18-6 · STL 49-21-11 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche beat the Blues
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.9 expected goals); the Avalanche won 5–3. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.9, on 34 and 32 shots on goal.
COL 3.1 xG · 34 shots
STL 2.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd
1.1 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 02:38 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Erik Johnson · 2nd 04:49 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
3
Josh Manson · 2nd 08:03 · 3–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Saad · 2nd 13:01 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 00:09 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 15:45 · 4–2 · slap shot, a good chance (25%)
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 16:49 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 19:13 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 54.
COL 54%STL 46%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 02:38 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Erik Johnson · 2nd 04:49 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
3
Josh Manson · 2nd 08:03 · 3–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Brandon Saad · 2nd 13:01 · PP · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 00:09 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
6
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 15:45 · 4–2
Slap shot, a good chance (25%)
7
Ryan O'Reilly · 3rd 16:49 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 19:13 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
