COL
7–2
NSH
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 1-0
7–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
517111117745
NSH
0611118225
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Avalanche lead the series 1–0
COL 1-0 · NSH 0-1 · Game 1 — the Avalanche lead the series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Predators
The Avalanche earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 1.7, and a 7–2 win to show for it. David Rittich allowed 3.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 1.7, on 45 and 25 shots on goal.
COL 4.2 xG · 45 shots
NSH 1.7 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
2nd
1.3 · 0.8
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 02:20 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Devon Toews · 1st 02:42 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Andrew Cogliano · 1st 08:30 · 3–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Cale Makar · 1st 12:15 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 15:04 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 14:44 · 6–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Matt Duchene · 2nd 18:40 · 6–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 06:03 · 7–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Matt Duchene · 3rd 12:26 · 7–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 85.
COL 85%NSH 15%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 02:20 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Devon Toews · 1st 02:42 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Andrew Cogliano · 1st 08:30 · SH · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Cale Makar · 1st 12:15 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 15:04 · 5–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 14:44 · PP · 6–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Matt Duchene · 2nd 18:40 · PP · 6–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 06:03 · 7–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Matt Duchene · 3rd 12:26 · 7–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
