Colorado Avalanche
COL · 2-0
2–1
Final / OTW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 0-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
1802101319251
NSH
111050406126
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the Avalanche lead the series 2–0
COL 2-0 · NSH 0-2 · Game 2 — the Avalanche lead the series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Predators
The Avalanche earned it: 4.8 expected goals to 2.3, and they won it in overtime on Makar's goal. Connor Ingram stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 2.3, on 51 and 26 shots on goal.
COL 4.8 xG · 51 shots
NSH 2.3 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
2.2 · 0.3
3rd
1.3 · 0.4
OT
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 05:25 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Yakov Trenin · 1st 15:19 · 1–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · OT 08:31 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 82.
COL 82%NSH 18%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 05:25 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Yakov Trenin · 1st 15:19 · 1–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · OT 08:31 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2
Roman Josi, Alexandre Carrier · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
49/51 saves · 2 GA · 4.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.