COL
3–2
STL
Final / OT · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 5-0
3–2
Final / OTW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 4-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
08219014113354
STL
17091900225
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Avalanche lead the series 1–0
COL 5-0 · STL 4-3 · Game 1 — the Avalanche lead the series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Blues
The Avalanche earned it: 4.7 expected goals to 1.5, and they won it in overtime on Manson's goal. Jordan Binnington stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 1.5, on 54 and 25 shots on goal.
COL 4.7 xG · 54 shots
STL 1.5 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.4
3rd
1.7 · 0.5
OT
0.7 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 06:25 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 03:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
3
Samuel Girard · 2nd 11:32 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 16:46 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Josh Manson · OT 08:02 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 91.
COL 91%STL 9%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 06:25 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 03:14 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
3
Samuel Girard · 2nd 11:32 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 16:46 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Josh Manson · OT 08:02 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
51/54 saves · 3 GA · 4.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
