Colorado Avalanche
COL · 7-2
4–5
Final / OTL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 6-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
218161505434
STL
091931012530
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Avalanche lead the series 3–2
COL 7-2 · STL 6-5 · Game 5 — the Avalanche lead the series 3–2
Avalanche fell to the Blues
The Avalanche let a 3–0 lead get away: the Blues came back with five unanswered goals — Thomas's equalizer with 0:56 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Bozak's goal. Darcy Kuemper allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 34 and 30 shots on goal.
COL 3.2 xG · 34 shots
STL 2.6 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.9 · 0.7
2nd
0.6 · 0.7
3rd
0.4 · 1.2
OT
0.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 03:51 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 18:23 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 04:02 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 14:42 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 09:57 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 15:14 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 17:14 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Robert Thomas · 3rd 19:04 · 4–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
9
Tyler Bozak · OT 03:38 · 4–5 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 59.
COL 59%STL 41%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 03:51 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 18:23 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 04:02 · 3–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 14:42 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 09:57 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 15:14 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 17:14 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Robert Thomas · 3rd 19:04 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
9
Tyler Bozak · OT 03:38 · GWG · 4–5
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.