COL
4–3
TBL
Final / OT · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 13-2
4–3
Final / OTW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 12-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
31501001211438
TBL
18290501323
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Avalanche lead the series 1–0
COL 13-2 · TBL 12-6 · Game 1 — the Avalanche lead the series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Lightning
The Avalanche earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.0, and they won it in overtime on Burakovsky's goal. Darcy Kuemper allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.0, on 38 and 23 shots on goal.
COL 3.4 xG · 38 shots
TBL 2.0 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.5
2nd
0.6 · 0.8
3rd
1.2 · 0.4
OT
0.1 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gabriel Landeskog · 1st 07:47 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 09:23 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Nick Paul · 1st 12:26 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 17:31 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Ondrej Palat · 2nd 12:51 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 13:39 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Andre Burakovsky · OT 01:23 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 73.
COL 73%TBL 27%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gabriel Landeskog · 1st 07:47 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 09:23 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Nick Paul · 1st 12:26 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 17:31 · PP · 3–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
5
Ondrej Palat · 2nd 12:51 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 13:39 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Andre Burakovsky · OT 01:23 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
