Colorado Avalanche
COL · 14-2
7–0
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 12-7
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
31121227730
TBL
050704016
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the Avalanche lead the series 2–0
COL 14-2 · TBL 12-7 · Game 2 — the Avalanche lead the series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Lightning
The Avalanche earned it: 3.0 expected goals to 1.0, and a 7–0 win to show for it. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed 4.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.0, on 30 and 16 shots on goal.
COL 3.0 xG · 30 shots
TBL 1.0 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.2 · 0.3
2nd
1.0 · 0.4
3rd
0.8 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 02:54 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Josh Manson · 1st 07:55 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Andre Burakovsky · 1st 13:52 · 3–0 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 04:51 · 4–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Darren Helm · 2nd 16:26 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Cale Makar · 3rd 02:04 · 6–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Cale Makar · 3rd 09:49 · 7–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 83.
COL 83%TBL 17%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 02:54 · PP · GWG · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Josh Manson · 1st 07:55 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Andre Burakovsky · 1st 13:52 · 3–0
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 04:51 · 4–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Darren Helm · 2nd 16:26 · 5–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Cale Makar · 3rd 02:04 · SH · 6–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Cale Makar · 3rd 09:49 · PP · 7–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/16 saves · 0 GA · 1.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/30 saves · 7 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 4.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.