Colorado Avalanche
COL · 1-0-0
5–2
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 0-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
212210113535
CHI
140617217
goals · shots on goal
Season opener for both teams
·First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 1-0-0 · CHI 0-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Blackhawks
The Avalanche earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 1.6, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Petr Mrazek allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.6, on 35 and 17 shots on goal.
COL 2.7 xG · 35 shots
CHI 1.6 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.2
2nd
1.0 · 0.6
3rd
0.9 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrew Cogliano · 1st 13:44 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Toews · 1st 15:52 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 17:07 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 03:49 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 10:12 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Max Domi · 3rd 01:51 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 17:03 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 69.
COL 69%CHI 31%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrew Cogliano · 1st 13:44 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Jonathan Toews · 1st 15:52 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 17:07 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 03:49 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 10:12 · PP · 4–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Max Domi · 3rd 01:51 · PP · 4–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 17:03 · PP · 5–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.