COL
3–4
WPG
Final / OT · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 2-1-1
3–4
Final / OTL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 2-1-0
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
0103140900333
WPG
2111110511428
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 2-1-1 · WPG 2-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Jets
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.5 expected goals); the Avalanche lost it in overtime on Pionk's goal. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.5, on 33 and 28 shots on goal.
COL 2.4 xG · 33 shots
WPG 2.5 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.3
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.3
OT
0.1 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Gagner · 1st 06:52 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Neal Pionk · 1st 13:21 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 02:14 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Cole Perfetti · 2nd 09:44 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:26 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 18:27 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Neal Pionk · OT 00:31 · 3–4 · slap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 48.
COL 48%WPG 52%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Gagner · 1st 06:52 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Neal Pionk · 1st 13:21 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 02:14 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Cole Perfetti · 2nd 09:44 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:26 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 18:27 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Neal Pionk · OT 00:31 · GWG · 3–4
Slap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
