Colorado Avalanche
COL · 5-4-1
6–3
FinalW
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 3-8-0
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
21619311636
CBJ
07213119339
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 5-4-1 · CBJ 3-8-0 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Blue Jackets
The Avalanche were outchanced (4.5 to 2.9 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Elvis Merzlikins allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blue Jackets created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 39 and 36 shots on goal.
COL 2.9 xG · 36 shots
CBJ 4.5 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 0.9
2nd
1.0 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 2.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 01:36 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
J.T. Compher · 1st 12:27 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 00:35 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jakub Voracek · 2nd 01:35 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Patrik Laine · 2nd 07:16 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Sean Kuraly · 3rd 02:32 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 08:54 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Cale Makar · 3rd 10:49 · 5–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 18:56 · 6–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 29.
COL 29%CBJ 71%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 01:36 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
J.T. Compher · 1st 12:27 · PP · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 00:35 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jakub Voracek · 2nd 01:35 · PP · 3–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Patrik Laine · 2nd 07:16 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Sean Kuraly · 3rd 02:32 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 08:54 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Cale Makar · 3rd 10:49 · 5–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 18:56 · EN · 6–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 4.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.