COL
5–3
NSH
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 7-4-1
5–3
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 5-8-1
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
12141103535
NSH
11411219335
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 7-4-1 · NSH 5-8-1 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Predators
The Avalanche earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.1, and a 5–3 win to show for it. Kevin Lankinen allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.1, on 35 and 35 shots on goal.
COL 3.6 xG · 35 shots
NSH 2.1 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.0 · 0.7
2nd
1.4 · 0.8
3rd
0.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Eeli Tolvanen · 1st 03:45 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 07:37 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 06:34 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 07:59 · 3–1 · backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (25%)
5
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 10:48 · 4–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (20%)
6
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 15:12 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Ryan Johansen · 2nd 19:32 · 5–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Roman Josi · 3rd 02:59 · 5–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 73.
COL 73%NSH 27%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Eeli Tolvanen · 1st 03:45 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 07:37 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 06:34 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 07:59 · 3–1
Backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (25%)
5
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 10:48 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (20%)
6
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 15:12 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Ryan Johansen · 2nd 19:32 · PP · 5–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Roman Josi · 3rd 02:59 · 5–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
