COL
4–1
CAR
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 8-4-1
4–1
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 9-5-1
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
21101027428
CAR
0916010125
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 8-4-1 · CAR 9-5-1 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Hurricanes
The Avalanche earned it: 2.7 expected goals to 2.1, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Pavel Francouz stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 2.1, on 28 and 25 shots on goal.
COL 2.7 xG · 28 shots
CAR 2.1 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cale Makar · 1st 14:29 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Cale Makar · 1st 17:51 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Staal · 2nd 13:55 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 04:17 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 17:50 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 61.
COL 61%CAR 39%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cale Makar · 1st 14:29 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Cale Makar · 1st 17:51 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Staal · 2nd 13:55 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 04:17 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 17:50 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Mikko Rantanen, Artturi Lehkonen · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
