Colorado Avalanche
COL · 8-5-1
2–3
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 6-8-0
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
017112118247
STL
011215113339
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 8-5-1 · STL 6-8-0 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Blues
The Avalanche created the better chances (3.5 to 2.9 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Jordan Binnington stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 47 and 39 shots on goal.
COL 3.5 xG · 47 shots
STL 2.9 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.6
2nd
0.6 · 1.0
3rd
1.5 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 11:29 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Robert Thomas · 2nd 13:49 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Brandon Saad · 2nd 18:59 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 00:13 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 03:02 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 60.
COL 60%STL 40%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 11:29 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Robert Thomas · 2nd 13:49 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Brandon Saad · 2nd 18:59 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 00:13 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 03:02 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
45/47 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.