COL
3–4
VAN
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 11-6-1
3–4
FinalL
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 7-10-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
211113012336
VAN
191927425
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 11-6-1 · VAN 7-10-3 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Canucks
The Avalanche created the better chances (3.5 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost 3–4. Pavel Francouz allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.3, on 36 and 25 shots on goal.
COL 3.5 xG · 36 shots
VAN 2.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 00:21 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 11:27 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 17:44 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Bo Horvat · 2nd 10:34 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Cale Makar · 2nd 15:59 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Sheldon Dries · 3rd 05:07 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
7
· 3rd 12:00 · 3–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 69.
COL 69%VAN 31%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Canucks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 00:21 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 11:27 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 17:44 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Bo Horvat · 2nd 10:34 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Cale Makar · 2nd 15:59 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Sheldon Dries · 3rd 05:07 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
7
· 3rd 12:00 · GWG · 3–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
7
Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Sheldon Dries · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–4
No penalties
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
