COL
4–1
DAL
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 12-6-1
4–1
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 12-6-4
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
210110116436
DAL
01612006142
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
COL 12-6-1 · DAL 12-6-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Stars
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.1 expected goals); the Avalanche won 4–1. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.1, on 36 and 42 shots on goal.
COL 3.0 xG · 36 shots
DAL 3.1 xG · 42 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 2.1
3rd
1.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 02:05 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Josh Manson · 1st 13:51 · 2–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 08:13 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Dryden Hunt · 2nd 10:43 · 3–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 07:01 · 4–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 47.
COL 47%DAL 53%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 02:05 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Josh Manson · 1st 13:51 · GWG · 2–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 08:13 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Dryden Hunt · 2nd 10:43 · 3–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Andrew Cogliano · 3rd 07:01 · 4–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
41/42 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
