Colorado Avalanche
COL · 15-10-2
3–2
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 9-14-7
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
0102916325
PHI
1804116228
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 15-10-2 · PHI 9-14-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche beat the Flyers
Chances were even (1.9 to 1.6 expected goals); the Avalanche won 3–2. Felix Sandstrom allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.9 expected goals to 1.6, on 25 and 28 shots on goal.
COL 1.9 xG · 25 shots
PHI 1.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 0.4
3rd
0.3 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cam York · 1st 12:52 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
2
Devon Toews · 2nd 09:25 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 15:04 · 2–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
4
J.T. Compher · 3rd 11:33 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
James van Riemsdyk · 3rd 16:22 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 55.
COL 55%PHI 45%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cam York · 1st 12:52 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
2
Devon Toews · 2nd 09:25 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 15:04 · SH · 2–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (26%)
4
J.T. Compher · 3rd 11:33 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
James van Riemsdyk · 3rd 16:22 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.