Colorado Avalanche
COL · 16-11-2
3–1
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 12-13-4
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
08212110330
NSH
0100818126
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
COL 16-11-2 · NSH 12-13-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Predators
The Avalanche earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.3, and a 3–1 win to show for it. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.3, on 30 and 26 shots on goal.
COL 3.3 xG · 30 shots
NSH 2.3 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.6
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 08:38 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Alex Newhook · 2nd 19:44 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Matt Duchene · 3rd 03:25 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Cale Makar · 3rd 19:28 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 66.
COL 66%NSH 34%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 08:38 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Alex Newhook · 2nd 19:44 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Matt Duchene · 3rd 03:25 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
4
Cale Makar · 3rd 19:28 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.