COL
2–6
TOR
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 19-13-3
2–6
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 23-8-6
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
1611507228
TOR
21331217632
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 19-13-3 · TOR 23-8-6 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.3 expected goals); the Avalanche lost 2–6. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 28 and 32 shots on goal.
COL 2.2 xG · 28 shots
TOR 2.3 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 1.0
2nd
1.1 · 0.6
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 06:51 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Pierre Engvall · 1st 09:27 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
J.T. Compher · 1st 17:28 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Michael Bunting · 2nd 00:34 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Devon Toews · 2nd 09:45 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 15:00 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
TJ Brodie · 2nd 15:24 · 2–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Michael Bunting · 3rd 16:11 · 2–6 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 48.
COL 48%TOR 52%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 06:51 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Pierre Engvall · 1st 09:27 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
J.T. Compher · 1st 17:28 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Michael Bunting · 2nd 00:34 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Devon Toews · 2nd 09:45 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 15:00 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
TJ Brodie · 2nd 15:24 · 2–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Michael Bunting · 3rd 16:11 · EN · 2–6
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/24 saves · 5 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
7/7 saves · 0 GA · 0.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
