COL
4–5
FLA
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 20-16-3
4–5
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 19-19-4
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
11304314431
FLA
31111719537
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 20-16-3 · FLA 19-19-4 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Panthers
The Avalanche were outchanced (3.8 to 2.7 expected goals) and lost 4–5. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 37 and 31 shots on goal.
COL 2.7 xG · 31 shots
FLA 3.8 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.9 · 1.7
3rd
0.9 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 09:07 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Montour · 1st 11:52 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Sam Bennett · 1st 13:47 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Andrew Cogliano · 1st 19:06 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 19:08 · 1–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 06:29 · 2–4 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 06:49 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
J.T. Compher · 3rd 12:07 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 16:30 · 4–5
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 33.
COL 33%FLA 67%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 09:07 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brandon Montour · 1st 11:52 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Sam Bennett · 1st 13:47 · PP · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Andrew Cogliano · 1st 19:06 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 19:08 · 1–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 06:29 · 2–4
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 06:49 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
J.T. Compher · 3rd 12:07 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 16:30 · PP · GWG · 4–5
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
