Colorado Avalanche
COL · 21-17-3
7–0
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 19-20-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
21221437733
OTT
01001108029
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 21-17-3 · OTT 19-20-3 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Senators
The Avalanche earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.4, and a 7–0 win to show for it. Anton Forsberg allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 33 and 29 shots on goal.
COL 3.7 xG · 33 shots
OTT 2.4 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 05:45 · 1–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Alex Newhook · 1st 07:50 · 2–0 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 09:05 · 3–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 15:57 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 08:18 · 5–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Brad Hunt · 3rd 15:49 · 6–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Alex Newhook · 3rd 18:10 · 7–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 69.
COL 69%OTT 31%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 05:45 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Alex Newhook · 1st 07:50 · 2–0
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 09:05 · 3–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 15:57 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 08:18 · PP · 5–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Brad Hunt · 3rd 15:49 · 6–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Alex Newhook · 3rd 18:10 · 7–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
1
Nathan MacKinnon, Evan Rodrigues · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/29 saves · 0 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/33 saves · 7 GA · 3.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.