COL
6–3
DET
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 22-17-3
6–3
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 18-17-7
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
21031215627
DET
0818213329
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 22-17-3 · DET 18-17-7 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.5 expected goals); the Avalanche won 6–3. Ville Husso allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 27 and 29 shots on goal.
COL 2.9 xG · 27 shots
DET 2.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.7
2nd
1.5 · 1.0
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 05:12 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Cale Makar · 1st 18:04 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 03:05 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
J.T. Compher · 2nd 10:06 · 4–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 15:53 · 5–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Andrew Copp · 2nd 18:58 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Ben Chiarot · 3rd 03:40 · 5–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 05:24 · 6–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (25%)
9
David Perron · 3rd 19:26 · 6–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 56.
COL 56%DET 44%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 05:12 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Cale Makar · 1st 18:04 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Cale Makar · 2nd 03:05 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
J.T. Compher · 2nd 10:06 · PP · GWG · 4–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 15:53 · 5–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Andrew Copp · 2nd 18:58 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Ben Chiarot · 3rd 03:40 · 5–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 05:24 · 6–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (25%)
9
David Perron · 3rd 19:26 · 6–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2
Nathan MacKinnon, Valeri Nichushkin · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
17/22 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
