Colorado Avalanche
COL · 26-17-3
3–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 25-19-6
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
1921403326
WSH
013111115239
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
COL 26-17-3 · WSH 25-19-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Capitals
The Avalanche were outchanced (4.0 to 2.2 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 39 and 26 shots on goal.
COL 2.2 xG · 26 shots
WSH 4.0 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.5 · 1.7
2nd
1.5 · 1.2
3rd
0.3 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 08:57 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Andrew Cogliano · 2nd 02:04 · 2–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Conor Sheary · 2nd 04:48 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Alex Newhook · 2nd 15:39 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 09:44 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 24.
COL 24%WSH 76%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 08:57 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Andrew Cogliano · 2nd 02:04 · 2–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Conor Sheary · 2nd 04:48 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Alex Newhook · 2nd 15:39 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 09:44 · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
2
Kurtis MacDermid, Logan O'Connor · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.