COL
3–5
ANA
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 26-18-3
3–5
FinalL
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 15-29-5
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
118213013344
ANA
17111314532
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 26-18-3 · ANA 15-29-5 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Ducks
The Avalanche let a 3–1 lead get away: the Ducks came back with four unanswered goals — Henrique's equalizer — and won 3–5. Pavel Francouz allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.3, on 44 and 32 shots on goal.
COL 4.3 xG · 44 shots
ANA 2.3 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.4
2nd
1.4 · 0.7
3rd
1.4 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 03:56 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Frank Vatrano · 1st 09:46 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
3
Samuel Girard · 2nd 01:13 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:09 · 3–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 18:37 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Adam Henrique · 3rd 09:42 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Mason McTavish · 3rd 10:06 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 19:10 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 79.
COL 79%ANA 21%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 03:56 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
2
Frank Vatrano · 1st 09:46 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
3
Samuel Girard · 2nd 01:13 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:09 · PP · 3–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 18:37 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Adam Henrique · 3rd 09:42 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Mason McTavish · 3rd 10:06 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 19:10 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
41/44 saves · 3 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
