COL
4–2
STL
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 27-18-3
4–2
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 23-24-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
21411215431
STL
0919110228
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 27-18-3 · STL 23-24-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche beat the Blues
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.6 expected goals); the Avalanche won 4–2. The Avalanche owned the 1st period, 1.4 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.6, on 31 and 28 shots on goal.
COL 3.0 xG · 31 shots
STL 2.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
2nd
1.4 · 1.3
3rd
0.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Newhook · 1st 09:22 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
J.T. Compher · 1st 11:36 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
3
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 04:48 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 16:27 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
5
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 09:40 · 3–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Matt Nieto · 3rd 19:57 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 56.
COL 56%STL 44%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Newhook · 1st 09:22 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
J.T. Compher · 1st 11:36 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
3
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 04:48 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brayden Schenn · 2nd 16:27 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
5
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 09:40 · 3–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Matt Nieto · 3rd 19:57 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Unassisted · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–2
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
