COL
3–4
TBL
Final / SO · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 28-19-5
3–4
Final / SOL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 35-16-2
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
COL
117116112010346
TBL
01519210011435
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–2
COL 28-19-5 · TBL 35-16-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–2
Avalanche fell to the Lightning
The Avalanche let a 2–0 lead get away: the Lightning came back with three unanswered goals — Namestnikov's equalizer — and won it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.7 expected goals to 3.4, on 46 and 35 shots on goal.
COL 3.7 xG · 46 shots
TBL 3.4 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.2
2nd
1.7 · 1.1
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
OT
0.2 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 00:50 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 06:21 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a great chance (45%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 13:09 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 00:26 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Denis Malgin · 3rd 02:03 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Vladislav Namestnikov · 3rd 04:10 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 54.
COL 54%TBL 46%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 00:50 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 06:21 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a great chance (45%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 13:09 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 00:26 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Denis Malgin · 3rd 02:03 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Vladislav Namestnikov · 3rd 04:10 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Nathan MacKinnon, Valeri Nichushkin · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Lightning
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
43/46 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
