Colorado Avalanche
COL · 31-19-5
6–5
Final / OTW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 30-19-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
0152931117642
EDM
11131411203540
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
COL 31-19-5 · EDM 30-19-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Oilers
Down 0–3 in the 2nd period, the Avalanche erased the deficit with 6 unanswered goals — Lehkonen's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Rantanen's goal. Jack Campbell allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.6, on 42 and 40 shots on goal.
COL 3.3 xG · 42 shots
EDM 3.6 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
0.7 · 1.4
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
OT · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Warren Foegele · 1st 15:08 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Warren Foegele · 2nd 01:14 · 0–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 07:37 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
J.T. Compher · 2nd 08:34 · 1–3 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 12:48 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Tyson Barrie · 2nd 17:42 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 00:26 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Mattias Janmark · 3rd 03:58 · 3–5 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
9
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 09:30 · 4–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
10
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 15:48 · 5–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
11
Mikko Rantanen · OT 04:38 · 6–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 46.
COL 46%EDM 54%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Warren Foegele · 1st 15:08 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Warren Foegele · 2nd 01:14 · 0–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 07:37 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
J.T. Compher · 2nd 08:34 · 1–3
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 12:48 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Tyson Barrie · 2nd 17:42 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 00:26 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Mattias Janmark · 3rd 03:58 · 3–5
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
9
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 09:30 · 4–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
10
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 15:48 · 5–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
11
Mikko Rantanen · OT 04:38 · GWG · 6–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
4
Nathan MacKinnon, Samuel Girard · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–3
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
35/40 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/42 saves · 6 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.