COL
4–1
CGY
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 33-19-5
4–1
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 27-21-12
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
2811113422
CGY
0611805129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 33-19-5 · CGY 27-21-12 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche beat the Flames
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.6 expected goals); the Avalanche won 4–1. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 22 and 29 shots on goal.
COL 2.8 xG · 22 shots
CGY 2.6 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 1.6
3rd
0.8 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 03:05 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Alex Newhook · 1st 08:22 · 2–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 02:42 · 3–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 17:20 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
5
Denis Malgin · 3rd 04:12 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 53.
COL 53%CGY 47%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 03:05 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Alex Newhook · 1st 08:22 · GWG · 2–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 02:42 · PP · 3–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 17:20 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
5
Denis Malgin · 3rd 04:12 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
