Colorado Avalanche
COL · 34-19-5
3–0
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 35-19-6
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
11111716334
VGK
01101208031
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 34-19-5 · VGK 35-19-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche beat the Golden Knights
The Avalanche earned it: 2.5 expected goals to 1.9, and a 3–0 win to show for it. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.9, on 34 and 31 shots on goal.
COL 2.5 xG · 34 shots
VGK 1.9 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
1.4 · 0.7
3rd
0.3 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 00:14 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:20 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 16:33 · 3–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 60.
COL 60%VGK 40%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 00:14 · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:20 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 16:33 · EN · 3–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/31 saves · 0 GA · 1.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.