Colorado Avalanche
COL · 34-20-5
5–7
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 40-15-5
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
11038113531
NJD
31231017729
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–2
COL 34-20-5 · NJD 40-15-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–2
Avalanche fell to the Devils
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.7 expected goals); the Avalanche lost 5–7. Vitek Vanecek allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.7, on 31 and 29 shots on goal.
COL 2.4 xG · 31 shots
NJD 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.3 · 1.2
2nd
1.1 · 1.3
3rd
1.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ondrej Palat · 1st 01:07 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nathan Bastian · 1st 07:52 · 0–2 · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
Tomas Tatar · 1st 11:27 · 0–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 19:46 · 1–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Dougie Hamilton · 2nd 03:13 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Miles Wood · 2nd 05:53 · 1–5 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 07:32 · 2–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 09:00 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
J.T. Compher · 2nd 09:36 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 16:59 · 4–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
11
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 01:26 · 5–6 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
12
Nico Hischier · 3rd 18:46 · 5–7 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 45.
COL 45%NJD 55%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ondrej Palat · 1st 01:07 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nathan Bastian · 1st 07:52 · 0–2
Poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
3
Tomas Tatar · 1st 11:27 · 0–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 19:46 · 1–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Dougie Hamilton · 2nd 03:13 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Miles Wood · 2nd 05:53 · PP · 1–5
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
7
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 07:32 · 2–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 09:00 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
J.T. Compher · 2nd 09:36 · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 16:59 · GWG · 4–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
11
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 01:26 · 5–6
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
12
Nico Hischier · 3rd 18:46 · EN · 5–7
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
4
Valeri Nichushkin, Artturi Lehkonen · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–3
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/28 saves · 6 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
14/19 saves · 5 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 3.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.