COL
2–5
PIT
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 41-23-6
2–5
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 35-26-10
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
01119110230
PIT
09321215545
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–2
COL 41-23-6 · PIT 35-26-10 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–2
Avalanche fell to the Penguins
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.7 expected goals); the Avalanche lost 2–5. Tristan Jarry stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.7, on 30 and 45 shots on goal.
COL 3.4 xG · 30 shots
PIT 3.7 xG · 45 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 1.8
3rd
1.2 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 01:11 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 04:06 · 0–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
J.T. Compher · 2nd 11:35 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jeff Carter · 2nd 14:12 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Devon Toews · 3rd 10:28 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jeff Carter · 3rd 12:51 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Bryan Rust · 3rd 19:41 · 2–5 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 45.
COL 45%PIT 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sidney Crosby · 2nd 01:11 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 04:06 · PP · 0–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
J.T. Compher · 2nd 11:35 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Jeff Carter · 2nd 14:12 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Devon Toews · 3rd 10:28 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Jeff Carter · 3rd 12:51 · 2–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Bryan Rust · 3rd 19:41 · EN · 2–5
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
1
Jake Guentzel, Pierre-Olivier Joseph · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
0–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
40/44 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
