Colorado Avalanche
COL · 44-24-6
2–4
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 44-22-9
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
111014119244
MIN
21111414429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 44-24-6 · MIN 44-22-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche fell to the Wild
The Avalanche created the better chances (3.8 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Filip Gustavsson stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 44 and 29 shots on goal.
COL 3.8 xG · 44 shots
MIN 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.0
2nd
1.1 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Marcus Johansson · 1st 03:24 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Bowen Byram · 1st 10:43 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Sam Steel · 1st 16:02 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 09:10 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Lars Eller · 3rd 13:41 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 19:27 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 67.
COL 67%MIN 33%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Marcus Johansson · 1st 03:24 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Bowen Byram · 1st 10:43 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Sam Steel · 1st 16:02 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Frederick Gaudreau · 2nd 09:10 · SH · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Lars Eller · 3rd 13:41 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
6
Frederick Gaudreau · 3rd 19:27 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
42/44 saves · 2 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.