COL
4–2
WPG
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 50-24-7
4–2
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 46-33-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
191828425
WPG
082804220
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
COL 50-24-7 · WPG 46-33-3 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Avalanche beat the Jets
Chances were even (1.9 to 1.9 expected goals); the Avalanche won 4–2. David Rittich allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.9 expected goals to 1.9, on 25 and 20 shots on goal.
COL 1.9 xG · 25 shots
WPG 1.9 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.3
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Denis Malgin · 1st 13:33 · 1–0 · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby · 2nd 02:15 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Kevin Stenlund · 2nd 14:59 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:11 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 03:01 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 18:31 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 51.
COL 51%WPG 49%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Denis Malgin · 1st 13:33 · 1–0
Bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Axel Jonsson-Fjallby · 2nd 02:15 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Kevin Stenlund · 2nd 14:59 · SH · 1–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 16:11 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 03:01 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 18:31 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Lars Eller, Alex Newhook · bat shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
