COL
1–3
SEA
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 0-1
1–3
FinalL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
18013014135
SEA
11311215330
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Avalanche trail the series 0–1
COL 0-1 · SEA 1-0 · Game 1 — the Avalanche trail the series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Kraken
The Avalanche created the better chances (3.2 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 1–3. Philipp Grubauer stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.7, on 35 and 30 shots on goal.
COL 3.2 xG · 35 shots
SEA 2.7 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.4
2nd
1.4 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Eeli Tolvanen · 1st 03:26 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 12:35 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Alexander Wennberg · 2nd 01:20 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Morgan Geekie · 3rd 04:03 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 59.
COL 59%SEA 41%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Kraken shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Eeli Tolvanen · 1st 03:26 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (29%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 12:35 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Alexander Wennberg · 2nd 01:20 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Morgan Geekie · 3rd 04:03 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
4
Alexander Wennberg, Justin Schultz · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–3
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/35 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
