Colorado Avalanche
COL · 2-3
2–3
FinalL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 3-2
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
08110110228
SEA
0152618329
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Avalanche trail the series 2–3
COL 2-3 · SEA 3-2 · Game 5 — the Avalanche trail the series 2–3
Avalanche fell to the Kraken
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.5 expected goals); the Avalanche lost 2–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.5, on 28 and 29 shots on goal.
COL 2.3 xG · 28 shots
SEA 2.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.7
2nd
1.3 · 0.9
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Geekie · 2nd 06:35 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:55 · 1–1 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
3
Tye Kartye · 2nd 09:59 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Yanni Gourde · 3rd 01:40 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 16:23 · 2–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 46.
COL 46%SEA 54%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Geekie · 2nd 06:35 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:55 · 1–1
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
3
Tye Kartye · 2nd 09:59 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Yanni Gourde · 3rd 01:40 · GWG · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 16:23 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.